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The State · North Carolina · Nov. 3, 2026

NC General Assembly generic ballot

Party preference for the General Assembly.

The State · Election night and the morning after

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The State · On the ballot

Candidates

Party preference, not a candidate contest

The State · Last 120 days

Poll average

Democratic48.8%

5 polls used · Latest Oct 20, 2026

Republican42.2%

5 polls used · Latest Oct 20, 2026

The State · Every public poll

Polls over time

● Democratic● Republican● Undecided

Each point is a poll, dated by its final field day. All reported choices and outliers are retained.

The State · 10 public polls

The full record

LV: likely voters · RV: registered voters · A: adults · MOE: margin of error

Pollster / sponsorField datesSampleMOEResultsSource
Harper Polling

Carolina Journal (John Locke Foundation)

R-sponsored
Oct 18, 2026 to Oct 20, 2026600 · LV±4 points

Undecided 8.8%

Democratic 48.5%

Republican 42.7%

Release ↗

Released Oct 22. NC General Assembly generic ballot.

Change Research

Carolina Forward

D-sponsored
Oct 1, 2026 to Oct 7, 2026829 · LV±3.7 points

Undecided 7%

Democratic 49%

Republican 42%

Release ↗

State legislature generic ballot with leans. Undecided is "Not sure"; 2% said they would not vote. Numbers from Carolina Forward toplines/crosstabs linked in the release.

Harper Polling

Carolina Journal (John Locke Foundation)

R-sponsored
Sep 13, 2026 to Sep 15, 2026608 · LV±3.97 points

Undecided 9.2%

Democratic 49.5%

Republican 41.3%

Release ↗
Harper Polling

Carolina Journal (John Locke Foundation)

R-sponsored
Aug 9, 2026 to Aug 10, 2026600 · LV±4 points

Democratic 48%

Republican 42.6%

Release ↗
Change Research

Carolina Forward

D-sponsored
Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 6, 2026915 · LV±3.5 points

Democratic 48%

Republican 41%

Release ↗
Harper Polling

Carolina Journal (John Locke Foundation)

R-sponsored
May 10, 2026 to May 11, 2026600 · LV±4 points

Democratic 47.5%

Republican 41.3%

Release ↗
Harper Polling

Carolina Journal (John Locke Foundation)

R-sponsored
Mar 22, 2026 to Mar 23, 2026600 · LV±4 points

Democratic 45.3%

Republican 43.2%

Release ↗
Change Research

Carolina Forward

D-sponsored
Jan 31, 2026 to Feb 4, 20261,069 · RV±3.1 points

Undecided 14%

Democratic 45%

Republican 42%

Release ↗
Change Research

Carolina Forward

D-sponsored
Jan 5, 2026 to Jan 7, 20261,105 · LV±3.5 points

Undecided 14%

Democratic 43%

Republican 43%

Release ↗
Harper Polling

Carolina Journal (John Locke Foundation)

R-sponsored
Nov 9, 2025 to Nov 10, 2025600 · LV±4 points

Democratic 47.3%

Republican 43.2%

Release ↗
The State · Graded after the results

Poll review

No two-party polls to grade in this race

The State · How to read this

Method and sources

The average uses polls from the last 120 days, weighted for recency and sample size. Older polls drop out. Campaign and party-sponsored polls count half as much. Each poll counts once, with likely voters preferred when a poll reports multiple populations. Every public poll is shown below, including outliers. District lean is an estimate of the 2024 presidential vote within the 2026 district lines. Absentee and early votes reported at county level are spread across districts in proportion to precinct votes. Sources: NC State Board of Elections, FEC and pollster releases. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.

Precinct map · Coming soonVoter registration by party · Coming soon