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The State · North Carolina · Nov. 3, 2026

US HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES DISTRICT 11

Polls, campaign money and the district behind the race.

The State · Election night and the morning after

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The State · On the ballot

Candidates

REPJennifer Capps Balkcom
Raised
$399,492
Spent
$104,674
Cash on hand
$294,818

FEC · As of Oct 14, 2026

FEC candidate filing ↗
The State · Last 120 days

Poll average

Ager50.0%

1 polls used · Latest Oct 23, 2026

Balkcom44.0%

1 polls used · Latest Oct 23, 2026

Groo1.0%

1 polls used · Latest Oct 23, 2026

The State · Every public poll

Polls over time

● Ager● Edwards● Undecided● Groo● Other● Balkcom

Each point is a poll, dated by its final field day. All reported choices and outliers are retained.

The State · 2 public polls

The full record

LV: likely voters · RV: registered voters · A: adults · MOE: margin of error

Pollster / sponsorField datesSampleMOEResultsSource
RedBox Research

A Fight Worth Having (super PAC)

D-sponsored
Oct 20, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026873 · LV±4.7 points

Ager 50%

Groo 1%

Other 1%

Balkcom 44%

Undecided 3%

Release ↗

Pollster is the polling unit of the sponsoring super PAC; D lean, matching the statewide RedBox row. Released Oct 25, 2026. MOE includes design effect of 2.0. 1 percent prefer not to answer.

Impact Research

Jamie Ager campaign

D-sponsored
Dec 15, 2025 to Dec 17, 2025500 · LV±4.4 points

Ager 45%

Edwards 44%

Undecided 10%

Release ↗

Edwards later withdrew; Balkcom is GOP nominee. Informed ballot Ager 49-42

The State · Graded after the results

Poll review

No two-party polls to grade in this race

The State · District estimate

2024 presidential vote

2024 presidential vote in the 2026 district lines (estimate)

Trump +9.5

Harris
44.5%
196,393 votes
Trump
54.0%
238,279 votes
Total votes
441,468
Precincts
292
The State · 2024 presidential vote

Top precincts

The State · How to read this

Method and sources

The average uses polls from the last 120 days, weighted for recency and sample size. Older polls drop out. Campaign and party-sponsored polls count half as much. Each poll counts once, with likely voters preferred when a poll reports multiple populations. Every public poll is shown below, including outliers. District lean is an estimate of the 2024 presidential vote within the 2026 district lines. Absentee and early votes reported at county level are spread across districts in proportion to precinct votes. Sources: NC State Board of Elections, FEC and pollster releases. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.

Precinct map · Coming soonVoter registration by party · Coming soon