- Raised
- $5,869,453
- Spent
- $5,249,295
- Cash on hand
- $620,158
FEC · As of Oct 14, 2026
FEC candidate filing ↗Polls, campaign money and the district behind the race.
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FEC · As of Oct 14, 2026
FEC candidate filing ↗FEC · As of Oct 14, 2026
FEC candidate filing ↗FEC · Coverage date not reported
FEC candidate filing ↗1 polls used · Latest Oct 23, 2026
1 polls used · Latest Oct 23, 2026
1 polls used · Latest Oct 23, 2026
Each point is a poll, dated by its final field day. All reported choices and outliers are retained.
LV: likely voters · RV: registered voters · A: adults · MOE: margin of error
| Pollster / sponsor | Field dates | Sample | MOE | Results | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RedBox Research A Fight Worth Having (super PAC) D-sponsored | Oct 20, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026 | 873 · LV | ±4.7 points | Ager 50% Groo 1% Other 1% Balkcom 44% Undecided 3% | Release ↗ Pollster is the polling unit of the sponsoring super PAC; D lean, matching the statewide RedBox row. Released Oct 25, 2026. MOE includes design effect of 2.0. 1 percent prefer not to answer. |
| Impact Research Jamie Ager campaign D-sponsored | Dec 15, 2025 to Dec 17, 2025 | 500 · LV | ±4.4 points | Ager 45% Edwards 44% Undecided 10% | Release ↗ Edwards later withdrew; Balkcom is GOP nominee. Informed ballot Ager 49-42 |
No two-party polls to grade in this race
2024 presidential vote in the 2026 district lines (estimate)
Trump +9.5
The average uses polls from the last 120 days, weighted for recency and sample size. Older polls drop out. Campaign and party-sponsored polls count half as much. Each poll counts once, with likely voters preferred when a poll reports multiple populations. Every public poll is shown below, including outliers. District lean is an estimate of the 2024 presidential vote within the 2026 district lines. Absentee and early votes reported at county level are spread across districts in proportion to precinct votes. Sources: NC State Board of Elections, FEC and pollster releases. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.