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← Races 2026
The State · Election review

Poll report card

Every public poll in North Carolina's 2026 races, checked against what voters actually did.

The State · All graded polls

How the polls did

Grades post as results come in

Polls are graded against unofficial results on election night and regraded when counties certify.

The State · Final three weeks, called races

Pollster grades

The State · 0 polls

Every poll

The State · Election night and the morning after

Get the final poll grades in your inbox.

When counties certify, we regrade every poll and send one email with which pollsters got NC right. Free.

The State · How we grade

Method

Grades compare each poll's Democrat-minus-Republican margin to the actual margin: A within 3 points, B within 5, C within 8, D within 11, F more than 11. Pollster grades use only polls that ended in the last three weeks before Election Day, in races that have been called or certified. Results come from the NC State Board of Elections and are unofficial until counties certify. Campaign and party-sponsored polls are graded the same way and labeled. A grade measures one poll in one race, not a pollster's honesty.